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Neighborhood · San Diego, CA

Rancho Bernardo Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 8,231 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10 · range 7.2–7.2

Rancho Bernardo takes in 2 census tracts of San Diego, CA and houses 8,231 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.2/10, Elevated tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.3/10.

The severe-burden share is 19%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. Cost burden runs 38% against 32.4% citywide, putting Rancho Bernardo 5.2% over its own city.

Food insecurity affects 8.0% of adults, 9.8 points below the national rate. 3.9% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #79 of 89 neighborhoods in San Diego.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Scripps Miramar Ranch and La Jolla Alta. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $2,408, close to the San Diego average. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Rancho Bernardo vs San Diego How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.6% +16%
San Diego: 32.4%
Average gross rent
$2,408 +4%
San Diego: $2,313
Average HH income
$155,627 +49%
San Diego: $104,321
Poverty rate
4.8% -57%
San Diego: 11.1%
Renter share
33.7% -36%
San Diego: 52.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rancho Bernardo and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 7.2–7.2

Why Rancho Bernardo scores 7.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
4.8% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.4 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–3.4 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

Rancho Bernardo vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rancho Bernardo score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Rancho Bernardo: 7.27.2Rancho BernardoNeighborhoodParent city: 8.68.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Rancho Bernardo

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073017058 7.2 4,302 38% $2,388
06073017057 7.2 3,929 37% $2,429
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 14

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 14%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 27%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rancho Bernardo

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rancho Bernardo

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rancho Bernardo?

Rancho Bernardo scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rancho Bernardo compare to San Diego overall?

Rancho Bernardo scores 1.4 points lower than San Diego overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,408 vs $2,313.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rancho Bernardo?

Average gross rent in Rancho Bernardo is $2,408/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rancho Bernardo residents are renters?

34% of Rancho Bernardo households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in San Diego). The neighborhood has 8,231 residents.
Q5

Is Rancho Bernardo a high social-vulnerability area?

Rancho Bernardo sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Rancho Bernardo have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Rancho Bernardo is census tract 06073017058 (score 7.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.2 to 7.2, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Rancho Bernardo for landlords?

Rancho Bernardo carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Diego as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Rancho Bernardo?

Rancho Bernardo has 8,115 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16.4%), Hispanic / Latino (14.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rancho Bernardo

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Diego

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rancho Bernardo.

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