Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Rancho Bernardo Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Diego

Tract 06073017058 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,302 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 7.2/10, tract 06073017058 in the Rancho Bernardo area of San Diego, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,302. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

Risk score

7.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 30% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units1,861

Renter share48.1%

SVI overall0.17

Poverty rate5.4%

Median income$139,076

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 33.0311, -117.0756 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rancho Bernardo scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

5.4% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$2,388 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

How Rancho Bernardo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
23%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
11%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rancho Bernardo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.4%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
9.7%Food insecurity
8.9%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
4.3%No health insurance
15.1%Frequent mental distress
21.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rancho Bernardo

Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.4/10.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #11,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. Average gross rent is $2,388, close to the San Diego average.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $139,076. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073017058

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073017058?

Census tract 06073017058 in the Rancho Bernardo neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073017058?

Median gross rent is $2,388/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073017058?

5.4% of residents in tract 06073017058 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,302.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073017058?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 23th, minority 62th, housing 11th.

Is tract 06073017058 considered part of Rancho Bernardo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073017058 fall within Rancho Bernardo (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073017058 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073017058 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073017058 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.