The Cove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Carlsbad

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.3/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

It sits 1.8 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.8% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10.

At $3,129 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Carlsbad commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.