1 census tracts · pop 6,504 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10
· range 5.8–5.8
The Cove maps to a single census tract in Carlsbad, CA, population 6,504. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.3/10.
22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. 39% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Carlsbad rate of 34.4%.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 7.1% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation is 6.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $3,129, 11% above the Carlsbad average of $2,808.
That places it #7 of 13 neighborhoods in Carlsbad. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $167,287. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 5.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Cove vs CarlsbadHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority44%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport12%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Cove
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.1%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility shutoff threat
6.8%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
3.4%No health insurance
20.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About The Cove
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The Cove?
The Cove scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The Cove compare to Carlsbad overall?
The Cove scores 1.4 points lower than Carlsbad overall (7.2/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $3,129 vs $2,808.
Q3
What is the average rent in The Cove?
Average gross rent in The Cove is $3,129/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of The Cove residents are renters?
46% of The Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Carlsbad). The neighborhood has 6,504 residents.
Q5
Is The Cove a high social-vulnerability area?
The Cove sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is The Cove for landlords?
The Cove carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carlsbad as a whole (7.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of The Cove?
The Cove has 6,590 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.9%), Hispanic / Latino (12%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
