Neighborhood · Carlsbad, CA

The Cove Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,504 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

The Cove is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Carlsbad with 1 census tract and a population of 6,504 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 39% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $3,129/month sits 11% higher than the Carlsbad citywide average ($2,808).

Risk score

3.3

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

The Cove vs Carlsbad How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

38.9% +13%

Carlsbad: 34.4%

Average gross rent

$3,129 +11%

Carlsbad: $2,808

Average HH income

$167,287 +20%

Carlsbad: $139,326

Poverty rate

5.2% -25%

Carlsbad: 6.9%

Renter share

46.1% +24%

Carlsbad: 37.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Cove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why The Cove scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

39% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

46% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Economic stress

5.2% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Risk score comparison

The Cove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in The Cove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06073017811	3.3	6,504	39%	$3,129

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 16

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 24%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 27%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 12%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Cove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.1%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility shutoff threat
6.8%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
3.4%No health insurance
20.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About The Cove

What is the eviction-risk score for The Cove?

The Cove scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does The Cove compare to Carlsbad overall?

The Cove scores 4.8 points lower than Carlsbad overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $3,129 vs $2,808.

What is the average rent in The Cove?

Average gross rent in The Cove is $3,129/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of The Cove residents are renters?

46% of The Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Carlsbad). The neighborhood has 6,504 residents.

Is The Cove a high social-vulnerability area?

The Cove sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is The Cove for landlords?

The Cove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carlsbad as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of The Cove?

The Cove has 6,590 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.9%), Hispanic / Latino (12%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Cove

3.6 Pavoreal 3 tracts · pop 16,455 4.6 Downtown Carlsbad 4 tracts · pop 12,638 3.2 La Costa 4 tracts · pop 20,983 3.5 Manzanita Cove 8 tracts · pop 27,346 4.2 The Knolls of Calavera Hills 3 tracts · pop 13,024 3.7 Ocean Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,874

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carlsbad

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Cove.

3.2 The Trails at Calavera Hills 1 tracts · pop 4,392 3.2 Cottage Row Carlsbad 1 tracts · pop 2,214 3.2 La Costa Valley 1 tracts · pop 5,264 3.2 Robertson Ranch 1 tracts · pop 4,815 3.4 Morning Ridge 1 tracts · pop 7,920 3.1 La Costa 4 tracts · pop 20,983

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