Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Carlsbad Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06073018000 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,507 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
06073018000 is a census tract in the Downtown Carlsbad area of Carlsbad, CA. It scores 7/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,507. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,798
Renter share77.4%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$96,103
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carlsbad and the region
Centroid at 33.1548, -117.3500 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Carlsbad scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,483 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlsbad
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlsbad
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.1
How Downtown Carlsbad compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Carlsbad. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.4%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 22.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Carlsbad
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.7/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally.
At $2,483 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Carlsbad commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Nationally it ranks #12,919 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073018000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073018000?
Census tract 06073018000 in the Downtown Carlsbad neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073018000?
Median gross rent is $2,483/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073018000?
7.0% of residents in tract 06073018000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,507.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073018000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 7th, minority 43th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 06073018000 considered part of Downtown Carlsbad?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073018000 fall within Downtown Carlsbad (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073018000 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073018000 compare to Carlsbad overall?
Tract 06073018000 scores 7/10, right in line with the parent city of Carlsbad at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carlsbad
Top eight tracts in Carlsbad ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
The Knolls of Calavera Hills
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Pavoreal
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Pavoreal
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Poinsettia
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
South Oceanside
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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