The Trails at Calavera Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Carlsbad

Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

Average gross rent is $3,479, 24% above the Carlsbad average. The voucher gap is 20.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.

Cost burden runs 48% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.