The Trails at Calavera Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 20%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10.

Average gross rent is $3,479, 24% above the Carlsbad average of $2,808. The voucher gap is 20.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. Food insecurity affects 7.6% of adults, 10.2 points below the national rate. SNAP participation is 7.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

That places it #7 of 13 neighborhoods in Carlsbad. At 14% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Cottage Row Carlsbad and La Costa. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 5.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.