Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally
Bressi Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated , Carlsbad
Tract 06073019811 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,878 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 06073019811 covers part of the Bressi Ranch area of Carlsbad, CA, and scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,878. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,406
Renter share34.6%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$125,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carlsbad and the region
Centroid at 33.1386, -117.2514 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bressi Ranch scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,807 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlsbad
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlsbad
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.1
How Bressi Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 22.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bressi Ranch
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.
Cost burden runs 61% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. It sits 1.5 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. Food insecurity runs 7.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 79th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $2,807, close to the Carlsbad average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $125,000.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073019811
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073019811?
Census tract 06073019811 in the Bressi Ranch neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073019811?
Median gross rent is $2,807/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073019811?
6.2% of residents in tract 06073019811 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,878.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073019811?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 57th, minority 60th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 06073019811 considered part of Bressi Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073019811 fall within Bressi Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073019811 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073019811 compare to Carlsbad overall?
Tract 06073019811 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Carlsbad at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carlsbad
Top eight tracts in Carlsbad ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
The Knolls of Calavera Hills
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Pavoreal
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Pavoreal
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Poinsettia
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
South Oceanside
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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