Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Poinsettia Eviction Risk: Lower , Carlsbad
Tract 06073020031 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,855 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 06073020031 belongs to Poinsettia in Carlsbad, California. It is home to 6,855 residents and scores 5.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 66% of US census tracts.
53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,321 a month against an average household income of $119,681 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 32% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,225
Renter share31.8%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$119,681
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
20
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carlsbad and the region
Centroid at 33.1203, -117.2373 · click any tract to drill in
Why Poinsettia scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,321 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlsbad
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlsbad
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.1
How Poinsettia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Poinsettia
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Diego County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073020031
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020031?
Census tract 06073020031 in the Poinsettia neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073020031?
Median gross rent is $2,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020031?
9.4% of residents in tract 06073020031 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,855.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020031?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 68th, minority 47th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 06073020031 considered part of Poinsettia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073020031 fall within Poinsettia (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073020031 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073020031 compare to Carlsbad overall?
Tract 06073020031 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Carlsbad at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carlsbad
Top eight tracts in Carlsbad ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
The Knolls of Calavera Hills
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Pavoreal
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CA
Pavoreal
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CA
South Oceanside
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CA
Seagate
3.7
/ 10 · Low
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