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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Morning Ridge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Carlsbad

Tract 06073022102 · San Diego, CA · pop 7,920 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 6/10, tract 06073022102 in the Morning Ridge area of Carlsbad, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,920. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.8/10.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 17% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,750
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$143,056

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Morning Ridge
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 23 tracts In Carlsbad
Moderate
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#632 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within state
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#7,047 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carlsbad and the region

Centroid at 33.1138, -117.2816 · click any tract to drill in

Why Morning Ridge scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,844 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlsbad
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlsbad
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.1

How Morning Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Morning Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 022102Carlsbad: 7.27.2Carlsbadparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Morning Ridge

21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

It sits 1.6 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the San Diego County average of 52.5%. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10.

Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $2,844, close to the Carlsbad average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073022102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073022102?

Census tract 06073022102 in the Morning Ridge neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073022102?

Median gross rent is $2,844/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073022102?

7.3% of residents in tract 06073022102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,920.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073022102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 87th, minority 65th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 06073022102 considered part of Morning Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073022102 fall within Morning Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073022102 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073022102 compare to Carlsbad overall?

Tract 06073022102 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Carlsbad at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carlsbad

Top eight tracts in Carlsbad ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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