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Neighborhood · Carlsbad, CA

Morning Ridge Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 7,920 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 6–6

Morning Ridge maps to a single census tract in Carlsbad, CA, population 7,920. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 61% against 34.4% citywide, putting Morning Ridge 26.1% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.8/10. 21% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. Food insecurity affects 9.1% of adults, 8.7 points below the national rate. 5.1% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

That places it #6 of 13 neighborhoods in Carlsbad. For a like-for-like read, Bressi Ranch and The Trails at Calavera Hills score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $2,844, close to the Carlsbad average.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $143,056. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Morning Ridge vs Carlsbad How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.5% +76%
Carlsbad: 34.4%
Average gross rent
$2,844 +1%
Carlsbad: $2,808
Average HH income
$143,056 +3%
Carlsbad: $139,326
Poverty rate
7.3% +5%
Carlsbad: 6.9%
Renter share
44.3% +19%
Carlsbad: 37.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Morning Ridge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6–6

Why Morning Ridge scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
7.3% below poverty line · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Morning Ridge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Morning Ridge score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Morning Ridge: 6.06.0Morning RidgeNeighborhoodParent city: 7.27.2Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Morning Ridge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073022102 6 7,920 60% $2,844
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 68

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 73%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 87%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Morning Ridge

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Morning Ridge

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Morning Ridge?

Morning Ridge scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Morning Ridge compare to Carlsbad overall?

Morning Ridge scores 1.2 points lower than Carlsbad overall (7.2/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,844 vs $2,808.
Q3

What is the average rent in Morning Ridge?

Average gross rent in Morning Ridge is $2,844/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Morning Ridge residents are renters?

44% of Morning Ridge households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Carlsbad). The neighborhood has 7,920 residents.
Q5

Is Morning Ridge a high social-vulnerability area?

Morning Ridge sits in the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Morning Ridge for landlords?

Morning Ridge carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carlsbad as a whole (7.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Morning Ridge?

Morning Ridge has 7,322 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.5%), Hispanic / Latino (22.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Morning Ridge

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carlsbad

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Morning Ridge.

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