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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Nob Hill Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075012302 · San Francisco, CA · pop 2,614 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 06075012302 sits in the Lower Nob Hill area of San Francisco eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. Population here is 2,614. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 51% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,886
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$55,741

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Lower Nob Hill
Very Low
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#91 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Elevated
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#71 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Elevated
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7870, -122.4121 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Nob Hill scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,724 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How Lower Nob Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lower Nob Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0123029.9San Franciscoparent city9.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Nob Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Nob Hill

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the San Francisco County average of 37.3%. Set annual rent against average income of $55,741 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

At $1,724 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of San Francisco commands. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075012302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075012302?

Census tract 06075012302 in the Lower Nob Hill neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075012302?

Median gross rent is $1,724/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075012302?

22.6% of residents in tract 06075012302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,614.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075012302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 20th, minority 71th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 06075012302 considered part of Lower Nob Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075012302 fall within Lower Nob Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075012302 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075012302 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075012302 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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