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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Newport Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tracy

Tract 06077005308 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 4,356 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 06077005308 covers part of the Newport Place area of Tracy, CA, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,356 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.9/10.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 14% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,282
Renter share32.3%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$98,534

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Newport Place
Very Low
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 23 tracts In Tracy
High
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#117 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
Low
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#7,225 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tracy and the region

Centroid at 37.7437, -121.4440 · click any tract to drill in

Why Newport Place scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tracy
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,139 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tracy
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tracy
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tracy
5.3

How Newport Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Newport Place risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 0053086.6Tracyparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Newport Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Newport Place

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The voucher gap is 23.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Cost burden runs 56% here against 47.9% across San Joaquin County. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.3/10.

Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Average gross rent is $2,139, 14% below the Tracy average. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $98,534.

32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005308

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005308?

Census tract 06077005308 in the Newport Place neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077005308?

Median gross rent is $2,139/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005308?

7.7% of residents in tract 06077005308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,356.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005308?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 54th, minority 75th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 06077005308 considered part of Newport Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06077005308 fall within Newport Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06077005308 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06077005308 compare to Tracy overall?

Tract 06077005308 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Tracy at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tracy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tracy

Top eight tracts in Tracy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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