Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Manor Association Eviction Risk: Moderate , Santa Rosa

Tract 06097153003 · Sonoma, CA · pop 5,449 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 06097153003 covers the Lincoln Manor Association area of Santa Rosa in California. Home to 5,449 residents, it scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 64% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,209 a month while the average household earns $75,605 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 17% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units2,050

Renter share46.7%

SVI overall0.91

Poverty rate12.4%

Median income$75,605

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Rosa and the region

Centroid at 38.4340, -122.7384 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Manor Association scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Rosa

7.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

12.4% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$2,209 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Rosa

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Rosa

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Rosa

6.1

How Lincoln Manor Association compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Manor Association. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.8%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
19.0%Food insecurity
16.5%SNAP enrollment
10.2%Transit barriers
12.7%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
30.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Manor Association

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Santa Rosa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sonoma County average of 5.5 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06097153003

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06097153003?

Census tract 06097153003 in the Lincoln Manor Association neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06097153003?

Median gross rent is $2,209/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06097153003?

12.4% of residents in tract 06097153003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,449.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06097153003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 92th, minority 70th, housing 97th.

Is tract 06097153003 considered part of Lincoln Manor Association?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06097153003 fall within Lincoln Manor Association (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06097153003 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06097153003 compare to Santa Rosa overall?

Tract 06097153003 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Rosa at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Rosa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Rosa

Top eight tracts in Santa Rosa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.