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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,888 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Manor Association Eviction Risk: High , Santa Rosa

Tract 06097152000 · Sonoma, CA · pop 2,345 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 06097152000 covers part of the Lincoln Manor Association area of Santa Rosa, CA, and scores 8.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
8.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 44% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,182
Renter share87.6%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$74,828

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In Lincoln Manor Association
Very High
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 45 tracts In Santa Rosa
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 121 tracts In Sonoma
Very High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2,258 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Rosa and the region

Centroid at 38.4416, -122.7133 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Manor Association scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Santa Rosa
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,692 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Santa Rosa
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Santa Rosa
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Santa Rosa
6.1

How Lincoln Manor Association compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Manor Association risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.78.7This tracttract 152000Santa Rosa: 7.37.3Santa Rosaparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Manor Association. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Manor Association

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

It sits 1.8 points above the Sonoma County average of 6.9. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,692, 21% below the Santa Rosa average.

That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $74,828.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06097152000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06097152000?

Census tract 06097152000 in the Lincoln Manor Association neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06097152000?

Median gross rent is $1,692/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06097152000?

16.0% of residents in tract 06097152000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,345.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06097152000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 71th, minority 71th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 06097152000 considered part of Lincoln Manor Association?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06097152000 fall within Lincoln Manor Association (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06097152000 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06097152000 compare to Santa Rosa overall?

Tract 06097152000 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of Santa Rosa at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Rosa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Rosa

Top eight tracts in Santa Rosa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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