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Neighborhood · Santa Rosa, CA

Lincoln Manor Association Eviction Risk: Moderate

8 census tracts · pop 43,568 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.1–6.1

Lincoln Manor Association is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Santa Rosa with 8 census tracts and a population of 43,568 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 52% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,921/month sits 11% lower than the Santa Rosa citywide average ($2,152).

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
8 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln Manor Association vs Santa Rosa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.0% +61%
Santa Rosa: 32.2%
Average gross rent
$1,921 -11%
Santa Rosa: $2,152
Average HH income
$84,261 -13%
Santa Rosa: $97,410
Poverty rate
14.0% +47%
Santa Rosa: 9.5%
Renter share
52.0% +20%
Santa Rosa: 43.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln Manor Association and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 5.1–6.1

Why Lincoln Manor Association scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
14.0% below poverty line · Range 2.2–5.1 across tracts
3.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.1 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Lincoln Manor Association vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lincoln Manor Association score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lincoln Manor Asso: 5.65.6Lincoln Manor AssoNeighborhoodParent city: 8.08.0Parent cityhost cityState: 8.48.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lincoln Manor Association?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 5.1 to 6.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

8 tracts in Lincoln Manor Association

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06097153103 6.1 4,834 61% $1,573
06097153002 6 7,218 54% $1,932
06097153104 6 3,888 62% $1,788
06097152000 5.8 2,345 49% $1,692
06097153003 5.6 5,449 64% $2,209
06097152903 5.2 4,967 51% $2,117
06097153006 5.1 7,652 44% $1,981
06097153001 5.1 7,215 39% $1,872
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 73%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 71%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincoln Manor Association

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lincoln Manor Association

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln Manor Association?

Lincoln Manor Association scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lincoln Manor Association compare to Santa Rosa overall?

Lincoln Manor Association scores 2.4 points lower than Santa Rosa overall (8/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,921 vs $2,152.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lincoln Manor Association?

Average gross rent in Lincoln Manor Association is $1,921/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lincoln Manor Association residents are renters?

52% of Lincoln Manor Association households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Santa Rosa). The neighborhood has 43,568 residents.
Q5

Is Lincoln Manor Association a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln Manor Association sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lincoln Manor Association have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lincoln Manor Association is census tract 06097153103 (score 6.1/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 6.1, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Lincoln Manor Association for landlords?

Lincoln Manor Association carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Santa Rosa as a whole (8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln Manor Association?

Lincoln Manor Association has 43,948 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (50.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (37.1%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincoln Manor Association

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Santa Rosa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincoln Manor Association.

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