8 census tracts · pop 43,568 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.2/10
· range 7.7–8.7
Lincoln Manor Association takes in 8 census tracts of Santa Rosa, CA, population 43,568. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.2/10, in the High tier. 52% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Santa Rosa rate of 32.2%.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2/10. Scores across the 8 constituent tracts range from 7.7 to 8.7. A 1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10.
Average gross rent is $1,921, 11% below the Santa Rosa average of $2,152. The closest comparables inside the same city are Coffey Park and Montgomery Village.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $84,261. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
8.2
High
8 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln Manor Association vs Santa RosaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincoln Manor Association
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
18.2%Housing insecurity
9.2%Utility shutoff threat
21.7%Food insecurity
19.5%SNAP enrollment
14.2%No health insurance
33.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Lincoln Manor Association
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln Manor Association?
Lincoln Manor Association scores 8.2/10 (High tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lincoln Manor Association compare to Santa Rosa overall?
Lincoln Manor Association scores 0.9 points higher than Santa Rosa overall (7.3/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,921 vs $2,152.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lincoln Manor Association?
Average gross rent in Lincoln Manor Association is $1,921/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lincoln Manor Association residents are renters?
52% of Lincoln Manor Association households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Santa Rosa). The neighborhood has 43,568 residents.
Q5
Is Lincoln Manor Association a high social-vulnerability area?
Lincoln Manor Association sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Lincoln Manor Association have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Lincoln Manor Association is census tract 06097153002 (score 8.7/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.7 to 8.7, a spread of 1 points.
Q7
How safe is Lincoln Manor Association for landlords?
Lincoln Manor Association carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.2/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Santa Rosa as a whole (7.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln Manor Association?
Lincoln Manor Association has 43,948 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (50.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (37.1%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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