Census Tract · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Ceres Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06099002701 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 4,187 · 75% of tract blocks fall in Ceres

Eviction risk in Ceres in Stanislaus County centers on tract 06099002701, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,187 residents. That is riskier than about 69% of US census tracts.

63% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 53% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,728 a month against an average household income of $87,143 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 9% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units1,308

Renter share24.5%

SVI overall0.69

Poverty rate5.8%

Median income$87,143

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ceres and the region

Centroid at 37.6139, -120.9510 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ceres scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Ceres

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

5.8% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$1,728 rent vs county FMR

6.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Ceres

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Ceres

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Ceres

6.5

How Ceres compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

79%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.5%Housing insecurity
9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
23.5%Food insecurity
21.4%SNAP enrollment
12.0%Transit barriers
15.6%No health insurance
19.2%Frequent mental distress
37.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ceres

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ceres, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099002701

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002701?

Census tract 06099002701 in Ceres scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06099002701?

Median gross rent is $1,728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002701?

5.8% of residents in tract 06099002701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,187.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 83th, minority 78th, housing 21th.

What share of households in tract 06099002701 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06099002701 compare to Ceres overall?

Tract 06099002701 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Ceres at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ceres; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ceres

Top eight tracts in Ceres ranked by composite eviction-risk score.