Modesto Eviction Risk: Elevated

Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Stanislaus County average of 47.5%. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.

The voucher gap is 19.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.4/10.

At $1,869 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Modesto commands. Nationally it ranks #17,650 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $92,604. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.