Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Patterson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06099003205 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 5,870 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Patterson
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 06099003205 in Patterson, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,870 residents. The voucher gap is 41.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,384
Renter share16.3%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$104,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
4
th percentile
Very Low
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Patterson and the region
Centroid at 37.4758, -121.1445 · click any tract to drill in
Why Patterson scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,211 rent vs county FMR
9.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Patterson
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Patterson
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Patterson
5.1
How Patterson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.7%Food insecurity
- 17.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.1%Transit barriers
- 16.0%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Patterson
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.1/10. At $2,211 a month, rents run 34% over what the rest of Patterson commands.
It sits 1.7 points below the Stanislaus County average of 6.5. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 47.5% across Stanislaus County. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.7 points cooler. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $104,667.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099003205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003205?
Census tract 06099003205 in Patterson scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099003205?
Median gross rent is $2,211/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003205?
7.1% of residents in tract 06099003205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,870.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 35th, minority 90th, housing 32th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06099003205 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06099003205 compare to Patterson overall?
Tract 06099003205 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Patterson at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Patterson; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Patterson
Top eight tracts in Patterson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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