Census Tract · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Turlock Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099003603 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 3,978 · 7% of tract blocks fall in Turlock

Tract 06099003603, home to 3,978 residents in Turlock in Stanislaus County, scores 5.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 66% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 28% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,290 a month while the average household earns $56,005 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 40% Owners 45%

Tract context

Occupied units1,409

Renter share54.9%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate24.0%

Median income$56,005

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Turlock and the region

Centroid at 37.4852, -120.9440 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turlock scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Turlock

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

24.0% poverty · this tract

6.0

Supply constraint

$1,290 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Turlock

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Turlock

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Turlock

6.5

How Turlock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

64%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.9%Housing insecurity
9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
21.9%Food insecurity
21.7%SNAP enrollment
11.8%Transit barriers
14.6%No health insurance
19.9%Frequent mental distress
38.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turlock

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Turlock, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099003603

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003603?

Census tract 06099003603 in Turlock scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06099003603?

Median gross rent is $1,290/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003603?

24.0% of residents in tract 06099003603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,978.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 83th, minority 53th, housing 83th.

What share of households in tract 06099003603 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06099003603 compare to Turlock overall?

Tract 06099003603 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Turlock at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Turlock; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Turlock

Top eight tracts in Turlock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.