Buffalo Mesa Eviction Risk: Lower , Commerce City
Tract 08001008536 · Adams County, CO · pop 4,679 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 08001008536 covers part of the Buffalo Mesa area of Commerce City, CO, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,679 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Commerce City and the region
Centroid at 39.9042, -104.7948 · click any tract to drill in
Why Buffalo Mesa scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Buffalo Mesa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 3 yrs
- 7.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.3%Peak (2006)
- 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
What drives eviction risk in Buffalo Mesa
Average gross rent is $2,469, 31% above the Commerce City average. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Against the Adams County average of 4.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points.
The voucher gap is 15.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 20 filings here across 3 tracked years.
Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 3.1/10.
Filings peaked in 2006 at 12.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 08001008536
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08001008536?
What is the average rent in tract 08001008536?
What is the poverty rate in tract 08001008536?
How socially vulnerable is tract 08001008536?
Is tract 08001008536 considered part of Buffalo Mesa?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08001008536?
How does tract 08001008536 compare to Commerce City overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Commerce City
Top eight tracts in Commerce City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.