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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Original Thornton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 08001009202 · Adams County, CO · pop 4,602 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 08001009202 sits in the Original Thornton area of Thornton eviction risk, CO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. It is home to 4,602 residents. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 10% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,398
Renter share25.3%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$90,724

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Original Thornton
Low
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 28 tracts In Thornton
High
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 107 tracts In Adams County
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#841 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Thornton and the region

Centroid at 39.8627, -104.9704 · click any tract to drill in

Why Original Thornton scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Thornton
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,899 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Thornton
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Thornton
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Thornton
5.9

How Original Thornton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Original Thornton risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0092024.5Thorntonparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 489Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 23.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.4%Peak (2016)
  • 118Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 08001009202
Filings climbed 151% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Original Thornton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Original Thornton

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Against Adams County at 50.4%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 22.4% against 11.3% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.

Court records carry 489 eviction filings across 5 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 31.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 24.0% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Adams County average of 4.5 closely. Average gross rent is $1,899, close to the Thornton average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $90,724.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 08001009202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08001009202?

Census tract 08001009202 in the Original Thornton neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08001009202?

Median gross rent is $1,899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08001009202?

8.1% of residents in tract 08001009202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,602.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08001009202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 76th, minority 87th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 08001009202 considered part of Original Thornton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08001009202 fall within Original Thornton (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08001009202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 489 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 08001009202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.95% of renter households, peaking at 31.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08001009202 compare to Thornton overall?

Tract 08001009202 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Thornton at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Thornton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Thornton

Top eight tracts in Thornton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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