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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Original Thornton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 08001009004 · Adams County, CO · pop 5,272 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 08001009004 in the Original Thornton area of Welby, CO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 14% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,971
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate17.6%
Median income$76,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Original Thornton
Elevated
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Thornton
Very High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 107 tracts In Adams County
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#359 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Thornton and the region

Centroid at 39.8432, -104.9660 · click any tract to drill in

Why Original Thornton scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Thornton
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
17.6% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,625 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Thornton
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Thornton
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Thornton
6.9

How Original Thornton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Original Thornton risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0090044.5Thorntonparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Original Thornton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Original Thornton

Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 50.4% across Adams County. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.2% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Adams County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,625, close to the Welby average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 08001009004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08001009004?

Census tract 08001009004 in the Original Thornton neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08001009004?

Median gross rent is $1,625/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08001009004?

17.6% of residents in tract 08001009004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,272.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08001009004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 25th, minority 81th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 08001009004 considered part of Original Thornton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08001009004 fall within Original Thornton (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 08001009004 compare to Thornton overall?

Tract 08001009004 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Thornton at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Thornton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Thornton

Top eight tracts in Thornton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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