Aurora Knolls-Hutchison Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

Cost burden runs 72% here against 50.1% across Arapahoe County. At $2,523 a month, rents run 37% over what the rest of Aurora commands.

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $90,967, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The voucher gap is 17.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The filing record is not thin: 20 evictions over 5 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2010 at 5.9% of renter households.

In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Arapahoe County average of 4.7 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.