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Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Castle Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Castle Rock

Tract 08035014603 · Douglas County, CO · pop 7,629 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 08035014603 runs through Castle Oaks in Castle Rock. With 7,629 residents, it scores 5.9/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #23,091 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 56% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,004 a month against an average household income of $146,290 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 5% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,510
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$146,290

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Castle Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 13 tracts In Castle Rock
Moderate
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 72 tracts In Douglas County
Elevated
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#1,354 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Castle Rock and the region

Centroid at 39.3786, -104.8026 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castle Oaks scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Castle Rock
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,004 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castle Rock
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castle Rock
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castle Rock
5.4

How Castle Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castle Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 014603Castle Rock: 4.44.4Castle Rockparent cityCounty: 1.31.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 30Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 6.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.7%Peak (2010)
  • 6Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castle Oaks

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Castle Rock eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Douglas County average of 5.5 and in line with the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 30 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 6.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.7% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 08035014603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08035014603?

Census tract 08035014603 in the Castle Oaks neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08035014603?

Median gross rent is $2,004/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08035014603?

4.4% of residents in tract 08035014603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,629.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08035014603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 4th, minority 9th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 08035014603 considered part of Castle Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08035014603 fall within Castle Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08035014603?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 08035014603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.11% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08035014603 compare to Castle Rock overall?

Tract 08035014603 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Castle Rock at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castle Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Castle Rock

Top eight tracts in Castle Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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