Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Castle Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Castle Rock
Tract 08035014603 · Douglas County, CO · pop 7,629 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
08035014603 is a census tract in the Castle Oaks area of Castle Rock, CO. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 7,629. 56% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,510
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$146,290
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Castle Rock and the region
Centroid at 39.3786, -104.8026 · click any tract to drill in
Why Castle Oaks scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Castle Rock
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,004 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castle Rock
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castle Rock
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castle Rock
5.4
How Castle Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 30Total filings over 2 yrs
- 6.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2010)
- 6Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Castle Oaks
Cost burden runs 61% here against 47.3% across Douglas County. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 30 filings here across 2 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 9.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $146,290, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 08035014603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08035014603?
Census tract 08035014603 in the Castle Oaks neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08035014603?
Median gross rent is $2,004/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08035014603?
4.4% of residents in tract 08035014603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,629.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08035014603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 4th, minority 9th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 08035014603 considered part of Castle Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08035014603 fall within Castle Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08035014603?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 08035014603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.11% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08035014603 compare to Castle Rock overall?
Tract 08035014603 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Castle Rock at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castle Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Castle Rock
Top eight tracts in Castle Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
08035014504
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08035014407
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
08035014503
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
Crystal Valley Ranch
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
Happy Canyon
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
Silver Heights
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
08035014410
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
08035014013
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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