Arvada Eviction Risk: Moderate

Against Jefferson County at 48.0%, 84% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10. At $2,466 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Arvada commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. The voucher gap is 15.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The filing record is not thin: 12 evictions over 1 years of observation.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7/10. The worst year on record was 2010, when 3.0% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.