Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Arbour Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newark
Tract 10003014402 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,875 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
How risky is the Arbour Park neighborhood of Newark for landlords? Census tract 10003014402 scores 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #16,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 54% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,822 a month while the average household earns $87,083 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,134
Renter share42.9%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$87,083
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newark and the region
Centroid at 39.6672, -75.7609 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arbour Park scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newark
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,822 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
4.0
How Arbour Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 336Total filings over 9 yrs
- 5.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.2%Peak (2012)
- 25Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 32% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 135Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arbour Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arbour Park
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newark eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.55x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003014402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014402?
Census tract 10003014402 in the Arbour Park neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003014402?
Median gross rent is $1,822/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014402?
19.9% of residents in tract 10003014402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,875.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 4th, minority 49th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 10003014402 considered part of Arbour Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003014402 fall within Arbour Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 336 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.22% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003014402 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003014402 compare to Newark overall?
Tract 10003014402 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newark
Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
10003014502
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014501
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014403
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
10003014404
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Academy Hill
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Arbour Park
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
10003014200
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · DE
Waters Edge
3.7
/ 10 · Low
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