Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Arbour Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newark
Tract 10003014402 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,875 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 10003014402 covers part of the Arbour Park area of Newark, DE, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 54%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,134
Renter share42.9%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$87,083
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newark and the region
Centroid at 39.6672, -75.7609 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arbour Park scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newark
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,822 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
4.0
How Arbour Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 336Total filings over 9 yrs
- 5.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.2%Peak (2012)
- 25Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 32% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 135Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arbour Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arbour Park
Cost burden runs 59% here against 44.1% across New Castle County. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the New Castle County average of 4.2. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10.
Court records carry 336 eviction filings across 9 observed years. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 6.9/10.
Average gross rent is $1,822, 10% above the Newark average. The worst year on record was 2012, when 9.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the DE average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003014402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014402?
Census tract 10003014402 in the Arbour Park neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003014402?
Median gross rent is $1,822/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014402?
19.9% of residents in tract 10003014402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,875.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 4th, minority 49th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 10003014402 considered part of Arbour Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003014402 fall within Arbour Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 336 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.22% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003014402 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003014402 compare to Newark overall?
Tract 10003014402 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newark
Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
10003014403
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014501
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014502
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014404
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Academy Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Arbour Park
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
10003014200
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Waters Edge
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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