Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Arbour Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newark
Tract 10003014702 · New Castle County, DE · pop 1,981 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 10003014702 sits in the Arbour Park area of Newark eviction risk, DE, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units598
Renter share17.1%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$100,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newark and the region
Centroid at 39.6536, -75.7418 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arbour Park scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newark
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$2,643 rent vs county FMR
9.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
4.0
How Arbour Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 81Total filings over 9 yrs
- 15.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.0%Peak (2014)
- 12Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 31Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.46×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arbour Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.5%Food insecurity
- 11.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arbour Park
At $2,643 a month, rents run 60% over what the rest of Newark commands. The voucher gap is 46.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.7/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 81 filings here across 9 tracked years.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10. Filings peaked in 2014 at 20.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 15.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003014702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014702?
Census tract 10003014702 in the Arbour Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003014702?
Median gross rent is $2,643/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014702?
13.6% of residents in tract 10003014702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,981.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 46th, minority 67th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 10003014702 considered part of Arbour Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003014702 fall within Arbour Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 81 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.61% of renter households, peaking at 20.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003014702 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003014702 compare to Newark overall?
Tract 10003014702 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Newark at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newark
Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
10003014403
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014501
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014502
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014404
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Arbour Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Academy Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
10003014200
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Waters Edge
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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