Eviction Risk in Arbour Park , Newark
Tract 10003014702 · New Castle County, DE · pop 1,981 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 10003014702 sits in the Arbour Park neighborhood of Newark, Delaware. It has a population of 1,981 and an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). 41% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 36% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,643/month against a median household income of $100,000 — roughly 32% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White-Hispanic Neighborhood — 1,937 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 24.2%
- White (non-Hispanic) 49.9%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 16.5%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 2.6%
- Other / Multiracial 6.8%
How the 5.9/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 9.4 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 3.2 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 6.9 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 4.5 | Newark (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 3.0 | Newark (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 4.0 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 4.0 | Newark (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 4.0 | Newark (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 3.4 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 9.7 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 81Total filings over 9 yrs
- 15.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.0%Peak (2014)
- 12Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 31Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.46×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arbour Park. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.5%Food insecurity
- 11.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
About tract 10003014702
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014702?
Census tract 10003014702 in the Arbour Park neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 10003014702?
Median gross rent is $2,643/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014702?
13.6% of residents in tract 10003014702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,981.
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 46th, minority 67th, housing 31th.
Is tract 10003014702 considered part of Arbour Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003014702 fall within Arbour Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 81 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.61% of renter households, peaking at 20.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply — likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
What share of households in tract 10003014702 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.