Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Arbour Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newark
Tract 10003014702 · New Castle County, DE · pop 1,981 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 10003014702 covers Arbour Park in Newark in Delaware. Home to 1,981 residents, it scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 72nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,643 a month against an average household income of $100,000 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units598
Renter share17.1%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$100,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newark and the region
Centroid at 39.6536, -75.7418 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arbour Park scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newark
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$2,643 rent vs county FMR
9.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
4.0
How Arbour Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 81Total filings over 9 yrs
- 15.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.0%Peak (2014)
- 12Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 31Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.46×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arbour Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.5%Food insecurity
- 11.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arbour Park
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newark eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003014702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014702?
Census tract 10003014702 in the Arbour Park neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003014702?
Median gross rent is $2,643/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014702?
13.6% of residents in tract 10003014702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,981.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 46th, minority 67th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 10003014702 considered part of Arbour Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003014702 fall within Arbour Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 81 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.61% of renter households, peaking at 20.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003014702 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003014702 compare to Newark overall?
Tract 10003014702 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Newark at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newark
Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
10003014502
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014501
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014403
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
10003014404
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Arbour Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Academy Hill
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
10003014200
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · DE
Waters Edge
3.7
/ 10 · Low
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