Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
St. Andrews Eviction Risk: Lower , Bear
Tract 10003014809 · New Castle County, DE · pop 8,575 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 10003014809 sits in the St. Andrews area of Bear eviction risk, DE, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. Population here is 8,575. Cost burden runs 62% here against 44.1% across New Castle County.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units3,099
Renter share20.4%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$107,906
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bear and the region
Centroid at 39.5931, -75.7005 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. Andrews scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bear
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,130 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bear
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bear
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bear
5.0
How St. Andrews compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 926Total filings over 9 yrs
- 12.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.1%Peak (2017)
- 109Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 546Total filings 2020-21
- 7.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within St. Andrews. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.6%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. Andrews
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.3/10. At $2,130 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Bear commands.
The voucher gap is 18.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 926 evictions over 9 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2017 at 16.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 12.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003014809
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014809?
Census tract 10003014809 in the St. Andrews neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003014809?
Median gross rent is $2,130/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014809?
9.4% of residents in tract 10003014809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,575.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014809?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 15th, minority 53th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 10003014809 considered part of St. Andrews?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003014809 fall within St. Andrews (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014809?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 926 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014809 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.74% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014809 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003014809 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003014809 compare to Bear overall?
Tract 10003014809 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bear at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bear
Top eight tracts in Bear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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