Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
St. Andrews Eviction Risk: Lower , Bear
Tract 10003016301 · New Castle County, DE · pop 7,042 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 10003016301 (St. Andrews in Bear, Delaware) comes in at 5.6/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 62nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 25% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,731 a month against an average household income of $96,080 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,924
Renter share21.2%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$96,080
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bear and the region
Centroid at 39.6123, -75.6769 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. Andrews scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bear
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,731 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bear
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bear
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bear
5.0
How St. Andrews compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,059Total filings over 9 yrs
- 24.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 42.3%Peak (2012)
- 73Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 548Total filings 2020-21
- 7.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.91×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within St. Andrews. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 12.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. Andrews
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bear eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and in line with the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.91x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003016301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016301?
Census tract 10003016301 in the St. Andrews neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003016301?
Median gross rent is $1,731/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016301?
10.4% of residents in tract 10003016301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,042.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 57th, minority 70th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 10003016301 considered part of St. Andrews?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003016301 fall within St. Andrews (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003016301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,059 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003016301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.06% of renter households, peaking at 42.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003016301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.91× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003016301 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003016301 compare to Bear overall?
Tract 10003016301 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Bear at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bear
Top eight tracts in Bear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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