Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Upper Grand Lagoon Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12005002604 · Bay, FL · pop 7,789
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 12005002604 in Upper Grand Lagoon, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,789. Against Bay County at 54.8%, 70% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units3,645
Renter share36.4%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$62,658
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Upper Grand Lagoon and the region
Centroid at 30.1645, -85.7628 · click any tract to drill in
Why Upper Grand Lagoon scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,454 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
6.3
How Upper Grand Lagoon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 501Total filings over 10 yrs
- 5.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.1%Peak (2016)
- 55Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Upper Grand Lagoon
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 501 filings here across 10 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,454, 13% below the Upper Grand Lagoon average.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.5/10. It tracks the Bay County average of 3.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $62,658.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12005002604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12005002604?
Census tract 12005002604 in Upper Grand Lagoon scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12005002604?
Median gross rent is $1,454/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12005002604?
8.6% of residents in tract 12005002604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,789.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12005002604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 72th, minority 25th, housing 44th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12005002604?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 501 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12005002604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.47% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12005002604 compare to Upper Grand Lagoon overall?
Tract 12005002604 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Upper Grand Lagoon at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Upper Grand Lagoon
Top eight tracts in Upper Grand Lagoon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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