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Census Tract · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Upper Grand Lagoon Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12005002604 · Bay, FL · pop 7,789

How risky is Upper Grand Lagoon for landlords? Census tract 12005002604 scores 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #38,498 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 70% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,454 a month against an average household income of $62,658 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 11% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units3,645
Renter share36.4%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$62,658

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Upper Grand Lagoon
Very High
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 49 tracts In Bay
Moderate
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#3,192 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#60,063 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Upper Grand Lagoon and the region

Centroid at 30.1645, -85.7628 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upper Grand Lagoon scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,454 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
6.3

How Upper Grand Lagoon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Upper Grand Lagoon risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.92.9This tracttract 002604Upper Grand Lagoon: 2.22.2Upper Grand Lagoonparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 501Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 5.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2016)
  • 55Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2008 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120050026042008: 47 filings (7.70/100 renter HHs)2010: 41 filings (3.54/100 renter HHs)2011: 49 filings (5.30/100 renter HHs)2012: 43 filings (4.65/100 renter HHs)2013: 47 filings (5.09/100 renter HHs)2014: 60 filings (6.49/100 renter HHs)2015: 46 filings (4.98/100 renter HHs)2016: 70 filings (7.06/100 renter HHs)2017: 43 filings (4.33/100 renter HHs)2018: 55 filings (5.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upper Grand Lagoon

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Bay County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 501 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 5.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.1% of renter households in 2016.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12005002604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12005002604?

Census tract 12005002604 in Upper Grand Lagoon scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12005002604?

Median gross rent is $1,454/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12005002604?

8.6% of residents in tract 12005002604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,789.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12005002604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 72th, minority 25th, housing 44th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12005002604?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 501 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12005002604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.47% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12005002604 compare to Upper Grand Lagoon overall?

Tract 12005002604 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Upper Grand Lagoon at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Upper Grand Lagoon

Top eight tracts in Upper Grand Lagoon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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