Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031012601 · Duval, FL · pop 4,034
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 12031012601 in Jacksonville, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,034 residents. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,705
Renter share78.7%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$37,618
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2930, -81.7625 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,110 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,990Total filings over 10 yrs
- 20.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.1%Peak (2015)
- 209Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 27% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,052Total filings 2020-21
- 13.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 17.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
Against Duval County at 49.2%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Set annual rent against average income of $37,618 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $1,110, 24% below the Jacksonville average. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,990 filings here across 10 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 26.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 20.0% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031012601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031012601?
Census tract 12031012601 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031012601?
Median gross rent is $1,110/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031012601?
26.7% of residents in tract 12031012601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,034.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031012601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 94th, minority 80th, housing 60th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031012601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,990 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031012601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.02% of renter households, peaking at 26.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031012601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031012601 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031012601 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031002701
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031013504
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Belle Rive
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031002702
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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