Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Avondale Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031002102 · Duval, FL · pop 2,144 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
12031002102 is a census tract in the Avondale area of Jacksonville, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,144 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,140
Renter share50.4%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$98,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
31
th percentile
Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3019, -81.6959 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avondale scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,265 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Avondale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 14%Grade A
- 14%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 188Total filings over 10 yrs
- 2.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2002)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 80Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avondale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avondale
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Against Duval County at 49.2%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 188 evictions over 10 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,265, 14% below the Jacksonville average.
Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2002 at 5.0% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031002102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002102?
Census tract 12031002102 in the Avondale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031002102?
Median gross rent is $1,265/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002102?
4.3% of residents in tract 12031002102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,144.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 27th, minority 27th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 12031002102 considered part of Avondale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031002102 fall within Avondale (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 188 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031002102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.75% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031002102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031002102 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031002102 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12031002102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031013302
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031000200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012201
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Avondale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031000300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riverside
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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