Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031012300 · Duval, FL · pop 3,948 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 12031012300 covers part of the Avondale area of Jacksonville, FL, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. At $913 a month, rents run 38% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,693
Renter share42.0%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$44,960
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2949, -81.7253 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avondale scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$913 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Avondale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 10%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 551Total filings over 10 yrs
- 7.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.7%Peak (2007)
- 48Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 260Total filings 2020-21
- 3.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.04×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avondale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avondale
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Court records carry 551 eviction filings across 10 observed years. Filings peaked in 2007 at 19.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 7.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters.
It tracks the Duval County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $44,960.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031012300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031012300?
Census tract 12031012300 in the Avondale neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031012300?
Median gross rent is $913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031012300?
13.0% of residents in tract 12031012300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,948.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031012300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 41th, minority 62th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 12031012300 considered part of Avondale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031012300 fall within Avondale (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031012300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 551 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031012300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.64% of renter households, peaking at 19.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031012300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031012300 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031012300 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12031012300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031014800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015805
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031010800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031000200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012100
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031013302
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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