Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031000300 · Duval, FL · pop 1,941
Census tract 12031000300 covers part of Jacksonville, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3503, -81.6312 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 50%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 522Total filings over 10 yrs
- 11.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.7%Peak (2016)
- 80Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 378Total filings 2020-21
- 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.14×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 48.8% against 31.5% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,014, 31% below the Jacksonville average. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $37,772, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against Duval County at 49.2%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Adults with no health insurance runs 23.5% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7.
The filing record is not thin: 522 evictions over 10 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 16.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 11.3% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 12031000300
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031000300?
What is the average rent in tract 12031000300?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031000300?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031000300?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031000300?
Did eviction filings in tract 12031000300 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12031000300 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Was tract 12031000300 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.