Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Ortega Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031002400 · Duval, FL · pop 2,027 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
The Ortega Terrace neighborhood of Jacksonville anchors census tract 12031002400, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 13th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 25% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,886 monthly, set against $133,500 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units772
Renter share17.7%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$133,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
17
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2735, -81.7052 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ortega Terrace scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,886 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Ortega Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 10%Grade A
- 9%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 11%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 16Total filings over 9 yrs
- 1.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2007)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 5Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ortega Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ortega Terrace
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Duval County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 16 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 1.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.4% of renter households in 2007.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 11% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031002400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002400?
Census tract 12031002400 in the Ortega Terrace neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031002400?
Median gross rent is $1,886/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002400?
2.6% of residents in tract 12031002400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,027.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 36th, minority 10th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 12031002400 considered part of Ortega Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031002400 fall within Ortega Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12031002400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.74% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031002400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031002400 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031002400 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12031002400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031011000
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Related