Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Ortega Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031002400 · Duval, FL · pop 2,027 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 12031002400 in the Ortega Terrace area of Jacksonville, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 25% here against 49.2% across Duval County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units772
Renter share17.7%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$133,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
22
th percentile
Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2735, -81.7052 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ortega Terrace scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,886 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Ortega Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 10%Grade A
- 9%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 11%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 16Total filings over 9 yrs
- 1.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2007)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 5Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ortega Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ortega Terrace
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. At $1,886 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of Jacksonville commands.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 16 eviction filings across 9 observed years.
Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2007, when 5.4% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031002400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002400?
Census tract 12031002400 in the Ortega Terrace neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031002400?
Median gross rent is $1,886/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002400?
2.6% of residents in tract 12031002400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,027.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 36th, minority 10th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 12031002400 considered part of Ortega Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031002400 fall within Ortega Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12031002400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.74% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031002400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031002400 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031002400 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12031002400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031014704
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015805
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031010800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012100
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031013302
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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