Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031012100 · Duval, FL · pop 2,010
12031012100 is a census tract in Jacksonville, FL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,010. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3196, -81.7404 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 9%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 236Total filings over 10 yrs
- 8.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.9%Peak (2016)
- 43Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 190Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $34,347, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7. The filing record is not thin: 236 evictions over 10 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,264, 14% below the Jacksonville average. Filings peaked in 2016 at 13.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 8.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 50% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 12031012100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031012100?
What is the average rent in tract 12031012100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031012100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031012100?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031012100?
Did eviction filings in tract 12031012100 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12031012100 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Was tract 12031012100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.