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Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12031012100 · Duval, FL · pop 2,010

12031012100 is a census tract in Jacksonville, FL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,010. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 24% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units723
Renter share47.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate30.5%
Median income$34,347

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 218 tracts In Duval
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.3196, -81.7404 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jacksonville scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.5% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$1,264 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Jacksonville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Jacksonville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0121003.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 236Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 8.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.9%Peak (2016)
  • 43Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12031012100
Filings climbed 207% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 190Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.13×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville

Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $34,347, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7. The filing record is not thin: 236 evictions over 10 years of observation.

Average gross rent is $1,264, 14% below the Jacksonville average. Filings peaked in 2016 at 13.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 8.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 50% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031012100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031012100?

Census tract 12031012100 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031012100?

Median gross rent is $1,264/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031012100?

30.5% of residents in tract 12031012100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,010.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031012100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 94th, minority 73th, housing 66th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031012100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 236 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031012100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.75% of renter households, peaking at 13.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12031012100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12031012100 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031012100 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12031012100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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