Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031002702 · Duval, FL · pop 4,549
For landlords sizing up Jacksonville in Duval County, census tract 12031002702 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #35,316 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,099 monthly, set against $29,566 in average yearly household income, roughly 45% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,525
Renter share68.0%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate52.6%
Median income$29,566
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3357, -81.7139 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
52.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,099 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 52%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 745Total filings over 10 yrs
- 11.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.1%Peak (2007)
- 93Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 567Total filings 2020-21
- 7.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Duval County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 745 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 11.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.1% of renter households in 2007.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031002702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002702?
Census tract 12031002702 in Jacksonville scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031002702?
Median gross rent is $1,099/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002702?
52.6% of residents in tract 12031002702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,549.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 69th, minority 87th, housing 75th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 745 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031002702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.01% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031002702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031002702 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031002702 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12031002702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 52% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031015502
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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