Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031011400 · Duval, FL · pop 2,202
Tract 12031011400 sits in Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 2,202 residents. The severe-burden share is 49%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units924
Renter share21.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate30.9%
Median income$34,737
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3791, -81.7120 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.9% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$1,286 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 119Total filings over 10 yrs
- 5.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2016)
- 19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 533% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 138Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.44×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $34,737, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 47.2% against 31.5% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7. Court records carry 119 eviction filings across 10 observed years. At $1,286 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 8.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031011400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031011400?
Census tract 12031011400 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031011400?
Median gross rent is $1,286/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031011400?
30.9% of residents in tract 12031011400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,202.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031011400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 98th, minority 98th, housing 51th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031011400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 119 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031011400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.75% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031011400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031011400 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031011400 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015803
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Englewood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014704
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015805
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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