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Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12031012201 · Duval, FL · pop 2,958

Tract 12031012201 sits in Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Cost burden runs 17% here against 49.2% across Duval County.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 38% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,322
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$58,804

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 218 tracts In Duval
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.2927, -81.7347 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jacksonville scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$886 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Jacksonville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Jacksonville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0122013.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 151Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville

At $886 a month, rents run 40% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.4% against 11.3% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $58,804.

47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031012201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031012201?

Census tract 12031012201 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031012201?

Median gross rent is $886/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031012201?

26.0% of residents in tract 12031012201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,958.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031012201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 36th, minority 70th, housing 81th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 12031012201 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 12031012201 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031012201 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 12031012201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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