Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
San Pablo Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031014421 · Duval, FL · pop 5,655 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
12031014421 is a census tract in the San Pablo area of Jacksonville, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,655 residents. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,346
Renter share36.4%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$96,154
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
30
th percentile
Low
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2849, -81.4506 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Pablo scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,700 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How San Pablo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 81Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.21×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within San Pablo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in San Pablo
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Duval County average of 49.2%. At $1,700 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Jacksonville commands.
It sits 0.7 points below the Duval County average of 3.7. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $96,154.
36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031014421
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014421?
Census tract 12031014421 in the San Pablo neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031014421?
Median gross rent is $1,700/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014421?
10.3% of residents in tract 12031014421 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,655.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014421?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 17th, minority 33th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 12031014421 considered part of San Pablo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031014421 fall within San Pablo (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031014421 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.21× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031014421 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031014421 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Englewood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012900
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015803
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014704
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015805
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Related