Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
San Pablo Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031014421 · Duval, FL · pop 5,655 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
In the San Pablo area of Jacksonville, census tract 12031014421 scores 4.9/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 36% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,700 monthly, set against $96,154 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,346
Renter share36.4%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$96,154
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
26
th percentile
Low
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2849, -81.4506 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Pablo scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,700 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How San Pablo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 81Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.21×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within San Pablo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in San Pablo
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.21x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031014421
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014421?
Census tract 12031014421 in the San Pablo neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031014421?
Median gross rent is $1,700/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014421?
10.3% of residents in tract 12031014421 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,655.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014421?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 17th, minority 33th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 12031014421 considered part of San Pablo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031014421 fall within San Pablo (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031014421 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.21× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031014421 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031014421 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002702
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031015502
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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