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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

San Pablo Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville

Tract 12031014341 · Duval, FL · pop 3,460 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 12031014341 in the San Pablo area of Jacksonville, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 22% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,623
Renter share46.3%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$86,347

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In San Pablo
Moderate
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#195 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Very Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#193 of 218 tracts In Duval
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.3027, -81.4319 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Pablo scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,705 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How San Pablo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Pablo risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0143413.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 73Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.97×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within San Pablo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Pablo

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,705, 16% above the Jacksonville average.

Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 52% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $86,347. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031014341

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014341?

Census tract 12031014341 in the San Pablo neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031014341?

Median gross rent is $1,705/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014341?

11.3% of residents in tract 12031014341 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,460.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014341?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 10th, minority 42th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 12031014341 considered part of San Pablo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031014341 fall within San Pablo (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12031014341 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.97× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12031014341 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031014341 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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