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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

San Pablo Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville

Tract 12031014408 · Duval, FL · pop 4,061 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Tract 12031014408 covers the San Pablo neighborhood of Jacksonville in Florida. Home to 4,061 residents, it scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 30% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 63% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,437 monthly, set against $103,456 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 17% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,809
Renter share45.7%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$103,456

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In San Pablo
Low
Within parent city
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#173 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Very Low
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#174 of 218 tracts In Duval
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#3,359 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.2752, -81.4287 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Pablo scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,437 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How San Pablo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Pablo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 014408Jacksonville: 2.52.5Jacksonvilleparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 589Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 7.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.2%Peak (2011)
  • 64Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120310144082002: 50 filings (5.05/100 renter HHs)2007: 47 filings (4.51/100 renter HHs)2009: 47 filings (4.51/100 renter HHs)2010: 48 filings (5.85/100 renter HHs)2011: 81 filings (10.15/100 renter HHs)2012: 65 filings (8.15/100 renter HHs)2013: 62 filings (7.77/100 renter HHs)2014: 52 filings (6.52/100 renter HHs)2015: 73 filings (9.15/100 renter HHs)2016: 64 filings (9.08/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 28% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 196Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.16× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (0.59× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.26× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (0.69× baseline)2021-11-01: 4 filings (1.18× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (0.91× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 11 filings (2.89× baseline)2022-07-01: 7 filings (1.59× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (0.65× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (0.56× baseline)2022-11-01: 11 filings (3.24× baseline)2022-12-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 11 filings (1.83× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2023-04-01: 5 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (0.45× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.45× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (0.65× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 8 filings (1.11× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-02-01: 5 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (0.45× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.45× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 5 filings (0.81× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (0.61× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.28× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (1.18× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (3.50× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (0.34× baseline)2025-05-01: 7 filings (1.59× baseline)2025-06-01: 5 filings (1.32× baseline)2025-07-01: 4 filings (0.91× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (0.65× baseline)2025-09-01: 5 filings (0.76× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (0.56× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within San Pablo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Pablo

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 3.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 589 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 7.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.2% of renter households in 2011.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031014408

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014408?

Census tract 12031014408 in the San Pablo neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031014408?

Median gross rent is $1,437/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014408?

6.7% of residents in tract 12031014408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,061.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014408?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 59th, minority 40th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 12031014408 considered part of San Pablo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031014408 fall within San Pablo (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031014408?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 589 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031014408 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.07% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12031014408 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12031014408 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031014408 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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