Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
San Pablo Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031014408 · Duval, FL · pop 4,061 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 12031014408 in the San Pablo area of Jacksonville, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,061 residents. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,809
Renter share45.7%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$103,456
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2752, -81.4287 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Pablo scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,437 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How San Pablo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 589Total filings over 10 yrs
- 7.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.2%Peak (2011)
- 64Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 28% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 196Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within San Pablo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in San Pablo
63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Duval County average of 49.2%. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 589 filings here across 10 tracked years.
It sits 0.7 points below the Duval County average of 3.7. Filings peaked in 2011 at 10.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $103,456, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031014408
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014408?
Census tract 12031014408 in the San Pablo neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031014408?
Median gross rent is $1,437/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014408?
6.7% of residents in tract 12031014408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,061.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014408?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 59th, minority 40th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 12031014408 considered part of San Pablo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031014408 fall within San Pablo (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031014408?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 589 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031014408 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.07% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031014408 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031014408 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031014408 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014702
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012900
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015803
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Englewood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014704
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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