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Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

San Pablo Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville

Tract 12031014331 · Duval, FL · pop 4,850 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

San Pablo in Jacksonville is where census tract 12031014331 sits, home to 4,850 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.5/10. It lands near the 24th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,166 a month while the average household earns $88,409 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 30% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 17% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,718
Renter share29.6%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$88,409

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In San Pablo
Elevated
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#144 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Low
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#151 of 218 tracts In Duval
Low
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#2,623 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.2981, -81.4501 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Pablo scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,166 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How San Pablo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Pablo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 014331Jacksonville: 2.52.5Jacksonvilleparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 883Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 18.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.3%Peak (2012)
  • 61Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120310143312002: 58 filings (8.96/100 renter HHs)2007: 90 filings (14.52/100 renter HHs)2009: 75 filings (12.10/100 renter HHs)2010: 80 filings (20.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 86 filings (18.70/100 renter HHs)2012: 144 filings (31.30/100 renter HHs)2013: 92 filings (20.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 92 filings (20.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 105 filings (22.83/100 renter HHs)2016: 61 filings (12.47/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 328Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 12.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.34×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 7 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-02-01: 5 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 13 filings (1.05× baseline)2020-09-01: 7 filings (0.54× baseline)2020-10-01: 6 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-11-01: 12 filings (1.07× baseline)2020-12-01: 16 filings (1.04× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.15× baseline)2021-02-01: 6 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-03-01: 5 filings (0.51× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.08× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (0.17× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.12× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (0.32× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.06× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.15× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (0.29× baseline)2022-03-01: 8 filings (0.82× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (0.28× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (0.23× baseline)2022-06-01: 8 filings (0.47× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (0.17× baseline)2022-08-01: 9 filings (0.73× baseline)2022-09-01: 5 filings (0.38× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (0.26× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (0.27× baseline)2022-12-01: 6 filings (0.39× baseline)2023-01-01: 4 filings (0.30× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (0.14× baseline)2023-03-01: 7 filings (0.71× baseline)2023-04-01: 4 filings (0.37× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (0.30× baseline)2023-06-01: 7 filings (0.41× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.12× baseline)2023-08-01: 6 filings (0.48× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (0.15× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2023-11-01: 6 filings (0.54× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (0.13× baseline)2024-01-01: 6 filings (0.45× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (0.21× baseline)2024-03-01: 7 filings (0.71× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (0.19× baseline)2024-05-01: 5 filings (0.38× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (0.17× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (0.17× baseline)2024-08-01: 5 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.08× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (0.26× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2024-12-01: 5 filings (0.32× baseline)2025-01-01: 4 filings (0.30× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.14× baseline)2025-03-01: 4 filings (0.41× baseline)2025-04-01: 5 filings (0.46× baseline)2025-05-01: 5 filings (0.38× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (0.23× baseline)2025-07-01: 5 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-08-01: 5 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (0.31× baseline)2025-10-01: 9 filings (0.79× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (0.27× baseline)2025-12-01: 5 filings (0.32× baseline)2026-01-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within San Pablo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Pablo

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.34x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031014331

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014331?

Census tract 12031014331 in the San Pablo neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031014331?

Median gross rent is $1,166/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014331?

9.5% of residents in tract 12031014331 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,850.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014331?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 92th, minority 66th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 12031014331 considered part of San Pablo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031014331 fall within San Pablo (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031014331?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 883 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031014331 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.09% of renter households, peaking at 31.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12031014331 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.34× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12031014331 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031014331 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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