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Neighborhood · Jacksonville, FL

San Pablo Eviction Risk: Lower

6 census tracts · pop 27,859 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3–4.2

San Pablo takes in 6 census tracts of Jacksonville, FL, population 27,859. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.2/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Against a Jacksonville baseline of 32.8%, 59% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.6/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.2/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Filings are well documented here: 1,553 across 3 observed tracts. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,664, 14% above the Jacksonville average of $1,465. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 31.3% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 7.4% in 2016, is well off that peak.

That places it #22 of 33 neighborhoods in Jacksonville. The closest comparables inside the same city are Lauren Oaks and Ortega Hills.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $91,983. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
6 tracts · population-weighted
San Pablo vs Jacksonville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.2% +80%
Jacksonville: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,664 +14%
Jacksonville: $1,465
Average HH income
$91,983 +37%
Jacksonville: $66,981
Poverty rate
10.0% -33%
Jacksonville: 15.0%
Renter share
38.4% -9%
Jacksonville: 42.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Pablo and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 3–4.2

Why San Pablo scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–5.7 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 1.0–4.6 across tracts
1.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–2.5 across tracts
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 2.5–6.8 across tracts
3.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–4.0 across tracts
3.2
Economic stress
10.0% below poverty line · Range 1.3–4.0 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–7.7 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

San Pablo vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

San Pablo score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.2San PabloNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in San Pablo?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 3 to 4.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in San Pablo

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12031014342 4.2 5,069 82% $1,744
12031014421 3 5,655 55% $1,700
12031014331 3 4,850 43% $1,166
12031014101 3 4,764 58% $2,204
12031014408 3 4,061 63% $1,437
12031014341 3 3,460 52% $1,705
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 44%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 48%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in San Pablo

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,553Total filings (sum)
  • 9.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.3%Peak year (2014)
  • 7.38%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,400Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.2Avg monthly observed
  • 4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.84×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville, FL).

Frequently asked

About San Pablo

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for San Pablo?

San Pablo scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does San Pablo compare to Jacksonville overall?

San Pablo scores 0.2 points lower than Jacksonville overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,664 vs $1,465.
Q3

What is the average rent in San Pablo?

Average gross rent in San Pablo is $1,664/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of San Pablo residents are renters?

38% of San Pablo households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 27,859 residents.
Q5

Is San Pablo a high social-vulnerability area?

San Pablo sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in San Pablo have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in San Pablo is census tract 12031014342 (score 4.2/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.2, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is San Pablo for landlords?

San Pablo carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of San Pablo?

San Pablo has 27,425 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.4%), Hispanic / Latino (14.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near San Pablo

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jacksonville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to San Pablo.

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