Neighborhood · Jacksonville, FL

San Pablo Eviction Risk: Lower

6 census tracts · pop 27,859 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 1.5–4.5

San Pablo is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Jacksonville with 6 census tracts and a population of 27,859 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,664/month sits 14% higher than the Jacksonville citywide average ($1,465).

Risk score

3.1

Lower

6 tracts · population-weighted

San Pablo vs Jacksonville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

59.2% +80%

Jacksonville: 32.8%

Average gross rent

$1,664 +14%

Jacksonville: $1,465

Average HH income

$91,983 +37%

Jacksonville: $66,981

Poverty rate

10.0% -33%

Jacksonville: 15.0%

Renter share

38.4% -9%

Jacksonville: 42.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Pablo and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 1.5–4.5

Why San Pablo scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.0–5.7 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

59% of income on rent · Range 1.0–4.6 across tracts

1.6

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–2.5 across tracts

2.2

Tenant organizing strength

38% renter households · Range 2.5–6.8 across tracts

3.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–4.0 across tracts

3.2

Economic stress

10.0% below poverty line · Range 1.3–4.0 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–7.7 across tracts

4.6

Risk score comparison

San Pablo vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in San Pablo?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 3 points from 1.5 to 4.5. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

4.5 3.5 3.3 3.2 2.8 1.5

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

6 tracts in San Pablo

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12031014342	4.5	5,069	82%	$1,744
12031014341	3.5	3,460	52%	$1,705
12031014331	3.3	4,850	43%	$1,166
12031014421	3.2	5,655	55%	$1,700
12031014408	2.8	4,061	63%	$1,437
12031014101	1.5	4,764	58%	$2,204

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 44%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 48%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in San Pablo

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,553Total filings (sum)
9.62%Avg annual filing rate
31.3%Peak year (2014)
7.38%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

1,400Total filings 2020-21
3.2Avg monthly observed
4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
0.84×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville, FL).

Frequently asked

About San Pablo

What is the eviction-risk score for San Pablo?

San Pablo scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does San Pablo compare to Jacksonville overall?

San Pablo scores 0.6 points higher than Jacksonville overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,664 vs $1,465.

What is the average rent in San Pablo?

Average gross rent in San Pablo is $1,664/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of San Pablo residents are renters?

38% of San Pablo households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 27,859 residents.

Is San Pablo a high social-vulnerability area?

San Pablo sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in San Pablo have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in San Pablo is census tract 12031014342 (score 4.5/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.5 to 4.5, a spread of 3 points.

How safe is San Pablo for landlords?

San Pablo carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of San Pablo?

San Pablo has 27,425 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.4%), Hispanic / Latino (14.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near San Pablo

3.6 Sans Pareil 3 tracts · pop 17,500 2.4 Jacksonville Beach 3 tracts · pop 6,001 2.8 Southridge 2 tracts · pop 13,125 1.6 Atlantic Beach 2 tracts · pop 8,770 4.3 Mill Creek North 5 tracts · pop 30,080 4.6 Azalea Terrace 5 tracts · pop 15,973

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jacksonville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to San Pablo.

3.1 Miramar Terrace 2 tracts · pop 9,857 3.3 Cary 2 tracts · pop 9,685 3.3 Brooklyn 1 tracts · pop 2,999 3.3 Lauren Oaks 2 tracts · pop 11,105 2.9 Greenland Oaks of Mandarin 2 tracts · pop 8,317 2.8 Southridge 2 tracts · pop 13,125

Zoom out