Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Royal Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031015925 · Duval, FL · pop 6,114 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
How risky is the Royal Lakes area of Jacksonville for landlords? Census tract 12031015925 scores 4.9/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 36th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,480 a month against an average household income of $61,237 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 78% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,952
Renter share78.3%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$61,237
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2281, -81.5555 · click any tract to drill in
Why Royal Lakes scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,480 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Royal Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,114Total filings over 10 yrs
- 5.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2007)
- 79Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,462Total filings 2020-21
- 19.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.31×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Royal Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Royal Lakes
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,114 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 6.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.9% of renter households in 2007.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031015925
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031015925?
Census tract 12031015925 in the Royal Lakes neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031015925?
Median gross rent is $1,480/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031015925?
17.2% of residents in tract 12031015925 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,114.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031015925?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 28th, minority 76th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 12031015925 considered part of Royal Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031015925 fall within Royal Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031015925?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,114 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031015925 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.98% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031015925 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031015925 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031015925 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031015502
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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