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Neighborhood · Jacksonville, FL

Royal Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,867 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3–4.1

Royal Lakes is a 2-tract neighborhood of Jacksonville, FL and houses 7,867 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.9/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,150, 22% below the Jacksonville average of $1,465. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3 to 4.1. A 1.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,114 evictions logged in this tract.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10. The severe-burden share is 9%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. roughly one in three of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent.

The worst year on record was 2007, when filings touched 11.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.6% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 33 mapped neighborhoods of Jacksonville, it ranks #12 by risk, the middle third.

For a like-for-like read, Mill Creek North and Garden City score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $84,717, annual rent is only 16%, a wide affordability cushion.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Royal Lakes vs Jacksonville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.6% +5%
Jacksonville: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,150 -22%
Jacksonville: $1,465
Average HH income
$84,717 +26%
Jacksonville: $66,981
Poverty rate
15.3% +2%
Jacksonville: 15.0%
Renter share
61.3% +44%
Jacksonville: 42.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Royal Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–4.1

Why Royal Lakes scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
15.3% below poverty line · Range 2.1–4.3 across tracts
3.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–5.0 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Royal Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Royal Lakes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.9Royal LakesNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Royal Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12031015925 4.1 6,114 44% $1,480
12031014418 3 1,753 0% ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 32%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 31%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Royal Lakes

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,114Total filings (sum)
  • 5.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.9%Peak year (2007)
  • 3.58%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,465Total filings 2020-21
  • 14.8Avg monthly observed
  • 6.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.80×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville, FL).

Frequently asked

About Royal Lakes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Royal Lakes?

Royal Lakes scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Royal Lakes compare to Jacksonville overall?

Royal Lakes scores 0.5 points higher than Jacksonville overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,150 vs $1,465.
Q3

What is the average rent in Royal Lakes?

Average gross rent in Royal Lakes is $1,150/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Royal Lakes residents are renters?

61% of Royal Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 7,867 residents.
Q5

Is Royal Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?

Royal Lakes sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Royal Lakes have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Royal Lakes is census tract 12031015925 (score 4.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.1, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Royal Lakes for landlords?

Royal Lakes carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Royal Lakes?

Royal Lakes has 7,672 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.5%), Hispanic / Latino (14.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Royal Lakes

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jacksonville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Royal Lakes.

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