Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Scott Mill Bluff Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031016711 · Duval, FL · pop 4,419 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Here is how census tract 12031016711, in Scott Mill Bluff in Jacksonville eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,419. That is riskier than about 30% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 87% of renter households, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,552 monthly, set against $140,804 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,661
Renter share9.9%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$140,804
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2028, -81.6408 · click any tract to drill in
Why Scott Mill Bluff scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,552 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Scott Mill Bluff compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 33Total filings over 10 yrs
- 1.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.5%Peak (2007)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 20Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.11×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Scott Mill Bluff
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.11x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 33 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 1.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.5% of renter households in 2007.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031016711
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016711?
Census tract 12031016711 in the Scott Mill Bluff neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031016711?
Median gross rent is $1,552/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 87% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016711?
2.4% of residents in tract 12031016711 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,419.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016711?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 38th, minority 46th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 12031016711 considered part of Scott Mill Bluff?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016711 fall within Scott Mill Bluff (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031016711?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031016711 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.59% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031016711 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.11× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031016711 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031016711 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031011000
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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