Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Scott Mill Bluff Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031016711 · Duval, FL · pop 4,419 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 12031016711 sits in the Scott Mill Bluff area of Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. 52% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,661
Renter share9.9%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$140,804
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2028, -81.6408 · click any tract to drill in
Why Scott Mill Bluff scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,552 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Scott Mill Bluff compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 33Total filings over 10 yrs
- 1.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.5%Peak (2007)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 20Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.11×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Scott Mill Bluff
87% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Duval County average of 49.2%. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 33 evictions over 10 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points below the Duval County average of 3.7.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 2.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031016711
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016711?
Census tract 12031016711 in the Scott Mill Bluff neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031016711?
Median gross rent is $1,552/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 87% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016711?
2.4% of residents in tract 12031016711 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,419.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016711?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 38th, minority 46th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 12031016711 considered part of Scott Mill Bluff?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016711 fall within Scott Mill Bluff (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031016711?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031016711 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.59% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031016711 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.11× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031016711 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031016711 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Mill Creek North
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012900
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014702
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015803
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Englewood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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