Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Goodbys Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031016730 · Duval, FL · pop 3,615 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 12031016730 sits in Goodbys in Jacksonville eviction risk, Florida eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #53,778 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,059 monthly, set against $135,000 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,140
Renter share9.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$135,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
17
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.1974, -81.5890 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goodbys scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,059 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Goodbys compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 30Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.57×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Goodbys. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goodbys
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 3.57x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031016730
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016730?
Census tract 12031016730 in the Goodbys neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031016730?
Median gross rent is $2,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016730?
5.9% of residents in tract 12031016730 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,615.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016730?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 38th, minority 55th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 12031016730 considered part of Goodbys?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016730 fall within Goodbys (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031016730 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031016730 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031016730 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002702
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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