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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Goodbys Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville

Tract 12031016730 · Duval, FL · pop 3,615 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

12031016730 is a census tract in the Goodbys area of Jacksonville, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,615. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 4% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,140
Renter share9.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$135,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Goodbys
Very Low
Within parent city
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#176 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Very Low
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#141 of 218 tracts In Duval
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.1974, -81.5890 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goodbys scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,059 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Goodbys compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Goodbys risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0167303.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 30Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.57×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Goodbys. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goodbys

Average gross rent is $2,059, 41% above the Jacksonville average. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Duval County average of 49.2%.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 19.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 0.7 points below the Duval County average of 3.7. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031016730

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016730?

Census tract 12031016730 in the Goodbys neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031016730?

Median gross rent is $2,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016730?

5.9% of residents in tract 12031016730 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,615.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016730?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 38th, minority 55th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 12031016730 considered part of Goodbys?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016730 fall within Goodbys (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12031016730 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12031016730 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031016730 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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