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Neighborhood · Jacksonville, FL

Goodbys Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 14,467 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3–3.9

Goodbys is a 3-tract neighborhood of Jacksonville, FL and houses 14,467 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.6/10, placing it in the Lower tier. 55% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Jacksonville rate of 32.8%.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. Court records for this tract carry 1,605 eviction filings.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10. Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 17.5% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 5.3% in 2016, is well off that peak.

That places it #15 of 33 neighborhoods in Jacksonville. The closest comparables inside the same city are Sans Pareil and Avondale. Its 3 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Average gross rent runs $1,483, close to the Jacksonville average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $79,122.

With little internal variation, 3.6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Goodbys vs Jacksonville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.1% +68%
Jacksonville: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,483 +1%
Jacksonville: $1,465
Average HH income
$79,122 +18%
Jacksonville: $66,981
Poverty rate
12.2% -19%
Jacksonville: 15.0%
Renter share
49.7% +17%
Jacksonville: 42.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodbys and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3.9

Why Goodbys scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
50% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
12.2% below poverty line · Range 1.5–4.1 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–6.9 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Goodbys vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Goodbys score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.6GoodbysNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Goodbys?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.9 points from 3 to 3.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Goodbys

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12031016724 3.9 5,647 45% $1,342
12031016731 3.7 5,205 62% $1,236
12031016730 3 3,615 61% $2,059
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 46%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Goodbys

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,605Total filings (sum)
  • 11.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.5%Peak year (2009)
  • 5.33%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,141Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.6Avg monthly observed
  • 7.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.45×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville, FL).

Frequently asked

About Goodbys

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Goodbys?

Goodbys scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Goodbys compare to Jacksonville overall?

Goodbys scores 0.2 points higher than Jacksonville overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,483 vs $1,465.
Q3

What is the average rent in Goodbys?

Average gross rent in Goodbys is $1,483/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Goodbys residents are renters?

50% of Goodbys households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 14,467 residents.
Q5

Is Goodbys a high social-vulnerability area?

Goodbys sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Goodbys have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Goodbys is census tract 12031016724 (score 3.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.9, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Goodbys for landlords?

Goodbys carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Goodbys?

Goodbys has 14,288 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.4%), Hispanic / Latino (15.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Goodbys

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jacksonville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Goodbys.

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